Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.341423 0.368627 0.397808 0.431581 0.469774 0.511839 0.561969
2025-01-12 0.276039 0.313076 0.355893 0.409706 0.476484 0.557956 0.667038
2025-01-19 0.234289 0.275109 0.324916 0.391529 0.480512 0.598821 0.774722
2025-01-26 0.214458 0.259396 0.316863 0.398148 0.514530 0.683019 0.962887
2025-02-02 0.203998 0.253401 0.319341 0.417679 0.568410 0.806722 1.254393
2025-02-09 0.190154 0.240879 0.310783 0.419357 0.595061 0.894056 1.521074
2025-02-16 0.176009 0.226280 0.297267 0.411069 0.603420 0.951434 1.756013
2025-02-23 0.165959 0.216383 0.289269 0.409793 0.622597 1.032973 2.089721
2025-03-02 0.155794 0.205386 0.278411 0.402213 0.628816 1.090227 2.400219
2025-03-09 0.146850 0.195464 0.268219 0.394326 0.632790 1.143634 2.740739
2025-03-16 0.139126 0.186798 0.259200 0.387280 0.636985 1.198744 3.136620
2025-03-23 0.135274 0.183689 0.258652 0.394902 0.671770 1.338902 4.008088
2025-03-30 0.128017 0.175142 0.249056 0.385884 0.671995 1.396064 4.643999
2025-04-06 0.119887 0.164877 0.236080 0.369604 0.654580 1.402170 5.067376
2025-04-13 0.112696 0.155735 0.224421 0.354788 0.638447 1.408785 5.541779
2025-04-20 0.109760 0.153176 0.223657 0.360823 0.671686 1.581993 7.633429
2025-04-27 0.108799 0.153702 0.228176 0.377807 0.735502 1.897556 12.826961
2025-05-04 0.105499 0.150179 0.225291 0.379302 0.760546 2.090817 18.755066
2025-05-11 0.101204 0.144773 0.218655 0.372170 0.761082 2.186298 24.610649
2025-05-18 0.098074 0.141157 0.215015 0.371075 0.778355 2.371137 38.156466
2025-05-25 0.094431 0.136495 0.209160 0.364529 0.778736 2.478528 55.009761
2025-06-01 0.090997 0.132037 0.203422 0.357705 0.777143 2.578366 82.583665
2025-06-08 0.087876 0.127983 0.198213 0.351602 0.776737 2.688393 137.064586